维基百科

2024年北卡罗来纳州州长选举

2024年北卡罗来纳州州长选举将于2024年11月5日举行，以选举北卡罗来纳州州长。由于北卡罗来纳州州长有州长任期限制，现任民主党州长罗伊·库珀不能寻求连任。

2024年北卡罗来纳州州长选举
← 2020 2024年11月5日 2028 →
 
获提名人 乔希·斯坦 马克·罗宾逊
政党 民主党 共和党
选前州长

罗伊·库珀
民主党

当选州长


民主党初选

候选人

初选结果

民主党初选结果[1]
党派 候选人 得票数 百分比
民主党 乔许·史坦 476,448 69.64
民主党 麦可·摩根 97,908 14.31
民主党 克雷尔·布克 45,695 6.68
民主党 马库斯·威廉斯 38,996 5.70
民主党 加里·福克斯 25,100 3.67
合计 684,147 100

共和党初选

候选人

初选结果

共和党初选结果
党派 候选人 得票数 百分比
共和党 马克·罗宾逊 663,917 64.8
共和党 戴尔·福韦尔 196,108 19.2
共和党 比尔·格雷厄姆 163,757 16.0%
合计 1,023,782 100

自由意志党初选

候选人

初选结果

自由意志党初选结果
党派 候选人 得票数 百分比
自由党 麦克·罗斯 2,898 59.49
自由党 沙农·布雷 1,973 40.51
合计 4,871 100

大选

候选人

民调

民调汇总
汇总来源 调查日期 更新日期 乔许·史坦 (D) 马克·罗宾逊 (R) 未决
[a] 		差距
真清晰政治[2] September 20 - October 8, 2024 October 10, 2024 52.1% 36.3% 11.6% Stein +15.8%
270toWin[3] October 2-10, 2024 October 10, 2024 50.6% 35.0% 14.4% Stein +15.6%
国会山报/DDHQ（英语：DDHQ）[4] through October 8, 2024 October 10, 2024 51.8% 36.4% 11.8% Stein +15.4%
平均 51.5% 35.9% 12.6% Stein +15.6%
民调来源 调查日期 样本[b] 误差 乔许·史坦 (D) 马克·罗宾逊 (R) 其它 未决
Emerson College[A] October 5–8, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 34% 5%[c] 11%
ActiVote September 5 – October 5, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 44% – –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[B] September 27 – October 2, 2024 753 (LV) ± 3.3% 46% 36% 4%[d] 14%
Quinnipiac University September 25–29, 2024 953 (LV) ± 3.2% 53% 41% 2%[e] 4%
52% 39% 6%[f] 3%
The Washington Post September 25–29, 2024 1,001 (LV) ± 3.5% 54% 38% 2%[g] 6%
1,001 (RV) ± 3.5% 53% 38% 2%[h] 7%
High Point University September 20–29, 2024 589 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 34% 3% 11%
814 (RV) ± 3.4% 51% 32% 3% 14%
Emerson College[C] September 27–28, 2024 850 (LV) ± 3.3% 52% 33% 4%[i] 12%
RMG Research[D] September 25–27, 2024 780 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 38% 5%[j] 8%
East Carolina University September 23–26, 2024 1,005 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 33% 5%[k] 13%
AtlasIntel September 20–25, 2024 1,173 (LV) ± 3.0% 54% 38% 3%[l] 5%
CNN/SSRS September 20–25, 2024 931 (LV) ± 3.9% 53% 36% 11%[m] –
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[E] September 19–25, 2024 411 (LV) – 53% 33% 7%[n] 8%
59% 35% – 6%
Fox News September 20–24, 2024 787 (LV) ± 3.5% 56% 41% 1%[o] 3%
991 (RV) ± 3.0% 56% 40% 2%[p] 3%
Marist College September 19–24, 2024 1,507 (RV) ± 3.5% 54% 42% 1%[q] 3%
1,348 (LV) ± 3.7% 54% 43% 1%[q] 2%
September 19, 2024 有线电视新闻网报道罗宾逊在色情网站论坛自称“黑人纳粹”，本入否认[5]
NYT/Siena College September 17–21, 2024 682 (LV) ± 4.2% 47% 37% – 16%
682 (RV) ± 4.2% 47% 36% – 17%
Meredith College September 18–20, 2024 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 40% 5%[r] 9%
Victory Insights (R) September 16–18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 42% – 11%
Emerson College[A] September 15–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 40% 2%[s] 10%
Morning Consult September 11–18, 2024 1,314 (LV) ± 2.7% 50% 37% 1% 12%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/
Impact Research (D)[F] 		September 11–17, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 42% – 6%
Cygnal (R)[G] September 15–16, 2024 600 (LV) ± 3.99% 46% 39% 2%[t] 13%
Elon University September 4–13, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.74% 49% 35% 3% 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[B] September 6–9, 2024 495 (LV) ± 3.8% 42% 33% 3%[u] 23%
Quinnipiac University September 4–8, 2024 940 (LV) ± 3.2% 54% 42% 1%[v] 4%
51% 41% 5%[w] 4%
Morning Consult August 30 – September 8, 2024 1,369 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 37% 2%[x] 11%
SurveyUSA[H] September 4–7, 2024 676 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 37% – 12%
Florida Atlantic University September 5–6, 2024 692 (RV) ± 3.7% 48% 38% – 14%
619 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 39% – 11%
Emerson College[A] August 25–28, 2024 775 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 41% 3%[y] 10%
East Carolina University August 25–28, 2024 920 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 41% 1%[z] 11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[B] August 25–28, 2024 812 (LV) ± 3.18% 44% 40% 4%[aa] 13%
SoCal Strategies (R)[I] August 26–27, 2024 612 (LV) – 47% 37% – 16%
Fox News August 23–26, 2024 1,026 (RV) ± 3.0% 54% 43% 2%[ab] 1%
ActiVote July 26 – August 26, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46% – –
SurveyUSA/High Point University August 19–21, 2024 1,053 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 34% – 18%
941 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 36% – 14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[B] August 12–15, 2024 601 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 39% 3%[ac] 13%
NYT/Siena College August 9–14, 2024 655 (RV) ± 4.2% 48% 38% – 14%
655 (LV) ± 4.2% 49% 39% – 12%
YouGov (D)[J] August 5–9, 2024 802 (RV) ± 3.9% 46% 36% 6%[ad] 13%
Cygnal (R) August 4–5, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 38% 4%[ae] 15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 31 – August 3, 2024 714 (LV) – 43% 38% 3%[af] 16%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 22–24, 2024 586 (LV) – 38% 34% 5%[ag] 23%
July 21, 2024 祖·拜登退出2024年美国总统选举
Public Policy Polling (D)[K] July 19–20, 2024 573 (RV) – 48% 42% – 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[B] July 16–18, 2024 461 (LV) ± 4.0% 37% 36% 4%[ah] 23%
Spry Strategies June 7–11, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 43% – 18%
East Carolina University May 31 – June 3, 2024 1,332 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% 43% – 13%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[L] May 29 – June 2, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 44% – 14%
Change Research (D)[J] May 13–18, 2024 835 (LV) ± 3.8% 44% 43% – 13%
High Point University May 2–9, 2024 804 (RV) ± 3.2% 34% 39% – 27%
1,002 (A) ± 3.2% 30% 35% – 35%
Cygnal (R)[M] May 4–5, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 39% 5%[ai] 17%
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 42% 5%[aj] 12%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[N] April 25–28, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 37% 6%[ak] 13%
Meredith College April 11–17, 2024 711 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 36% – 20%
Cygnal (R)[O] April 7–8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 40% – 18%
Quinnipiac University April 4–8, 2024 1,401 (RV) ± 2.6% 52% 44% 2%[al] 3%
48% 41% 7%[am] 3%
High Point University March 22–30, 2024 829 (RV) ± 3.4% 37% 34% – 29%
Marist College March 11–14, 2024 1,197 (RV) ± 3.6% 49% 47% – 4%
SurveyUSA[H] March 3–9, 2024 598 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 42% – 14%
Cygnal (R)[O] March 6–7, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 44% – 17%
Change Research (D)[J] February 15–19, 2024 1,622 (LV) ± 2.6% 42% 43% – 15%
East Carolina University February 9–12, 2024 1,207 (RV) ± 3.3% 41% 41% – 14%
Meredith College January 26–31, 2024 760 (RV) ± 3.5% 39% 35% – 17%
East Carolina University November 29 – December 1, 2023 915 (RV) ± 3.8% 40% 44% – 16%
Meredith College November 1–5, 2023 755 (RV) ± 3.5% 38% 36% – 19%
Change Research (D)[J] September 1–5, 2023 914 (LV) ± 3.6% 38% 42% – 20%
Opinion Diagnostics June 5–7, 2023 902 (LV) ± 3.3% 38% 41% – 21%
Cygnal (R)[O] May 12–23, 2023 610 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 42% – 18%
Change Research (D)[J] May 5–8, 2023 802 (LV) ± 3.9% 43% 46% – 11%
Public Policy Polling (D) March 2–3, 2023 704 (RV) ± 3.7% 42% 44% – 14%
Differentiator Data (R)[P] January 9–12, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 42% 42% – 16%
Public Policy Polling (D)[J] October 7–8, 2022 606 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 42% – 14%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[Q] May 12–16, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% 48% – 10%
假设民调
Josh Stein vs. Dale Folwell
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Josh
Stein (D) 		Dale
Folwell (R) 		Undecided
East Carolina University February 9–12, 2024 1,207 (RV) ± 3.3% 42% 31% 27%
East Carolina University November 29 – December 1, 2023 915 (RV) ± 3.8% 40% 38% 22%
Cygnal (R)[O] May 12–23, 2023 610 (LV) ± 3.96% 39% 34% 27%
Josh Stein vs. Bill Graham
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Josh
Stein (D) 		Bill
Graham (R) 		Undecided
East Carolina University February 9–12, 2024 1,207 (RV) ± 3.3% 40% 35% 25%
East Carolina University November 29 – December 1, 2023 915 (RV) ± 3.8% 42% 39% 19%
Josh Stein vs. Mark Walker
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Josh
Stein (D) 		Mark
Walker (R) 		Undecided
Cygnal (R)[O] May 12–23, 2023 610 (LV) ± 3.96% 39% 37% 24%
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Other Undecided
High Point University February 16–23, 2024 753 (LV) ± 3.9% 46% 45% 2%[an] 7%


选举结果

2024 年北卡罗来纳州州长选举结果选举结果
政党 候选人 票数 % ±
民主党 乔许·史坦
共和党 马克·罗宾逊
自由意志党 麦克·罗斯
绿党 韦恩·特纳
总票数

参见

注释

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  4. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  5. ^ "Wouldn't Vote" and "Refused" with 1%
  6. ^ Ross (L) with 3%, Smith (C), "Wouldn't Vote", and "Refused" with 1%
  7. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
  8. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
  9. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  10. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; "Would Not Vote" with 1%
  11. ^ Ross (L) with 3%; Smith (C), "Other" with 1%
  12. ^ "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  13. ^ "Neither" with 8%; "Other" with 3%
  14. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; "Would not vote" with 4%
  15. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  16. ^ "Other" with 1%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  17. ^ 17.0 17.1 "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  18. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G), Smith (C), and "Someone else" with 1%
  19. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  20. ^ Ross (L) with 2%
  21. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; "Other" with 2%
  22. ^ "Refused" with 1%
  23. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G) with 1%; Smith (C) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
  24. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  25. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  26. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G), Smith (C), "Write-in candidate" each with <1%
  27. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Others" with 1%
  28. ^ "Other" with 1%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  29. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  30. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Undecided Third Party" with 4%
  31. ^ Ross (L) with 3%; Turner (G) with 1%
  32. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  33. ^ Ross (L) with 3%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  34. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 2%
  35. ^ Ross (L) with 4%; Turner (G) with 1%
  36. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  37. ^ Ross (L) with 4%; Turner (G) with 2%
  38. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
  39. ^ Ross (L) with 4%; Turner (G) with 2%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  40. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 2%

参考资料

  1. ^ 03/05/2024 UNOFFICIAL PRIMARY ELECTION RESULTS - STATEWIDE. North Carolina State Board of Elections. [6 March 2024]. 
  2. ^ 2024 North Carolina Governor - Robinson vs. Stein | RealClearPolling. www.realclearpolling.com. 
  3. ^ 2024 Polls: North Carolina Governor - 270toWin. 270toWin.com. 
  4. ^ North Carolina Governor polls - The Hill and DDHQ. The Hill. 
  5. ^ 引用错误：没有为名为CNN的参考文献提供内容

外部链接


引用错误：页面中存在<ref group="upper-alpha">标签或{{efn-ua}}模板，但没有找到相应的<references group="upper-alpha" />标签或{{notelist-ua}}模板

检索自“https://zh.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2024年北卡羅來納州州長選舉&oldid=84710182”